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JVP News Roundup, July 29, 2007
Congress is once again showing its remarkable ability to misunderstand the Middle East and to be more narrow-minded in its decisions regarding Arab states than even Israeli hawks.
At issue now is a Middle East arms package
that the Bush Administration plans to put into the next appropriations
bill. It involves a 10-year commitment to do the following: One should keep in mind that the US and Israel also work together to develop other defense systems,
which often amount to additional American support for Israel, though
this relationship is much more mutual than is often portrayed.
The
American strategy of flooding the Middle East with weapons, small and
large, has already had the effect of greatly increasing the instability
of the region. This new wave of arms supplies, crafted to maintain
Israel's military superiority while simultaneously enabling America's
Arab allies to strengthen their ability to stand up to increasing
Iranian influence in the region, is certain to have similarly
destabilizing results. That is not to say that the arms deal won't
accomplish the goals outlined above, but that accomplishment will come
along with other, unintended results.
Principled, or even
thoughtful, opposition to such a strategy would be welcome. A credible
alternative that does not endanger Israel or other US interests might
mean:
- Israel is
held accountable to its past commitments to the US upon which its aid
is predicated (that it is to be used only for defense, that American
weapons are not to be used against civilians) and that such aid is
dependent on Israel's removing settlements and freezing all
construction in the West Bank;
- engaging Iran in diplomacy, along with Saudi Arabia;
- that the US adhere to its own regulations that arms supplies be conditioned on adherence to human rights norms;
- that the US commits to supporting the security of all allied states that adhere to such regulations;
- that Iran, the US and the Arab states come together to work for a resolution to the crisis in Iraq;
- and
that substantive negotiations begin for the resolution of the
Israel-Palestine conflict, encompassing all areas under conflict,
including the Golan heights and the Sheba'a Farms.
These
measures could be aimed at allaying the concerns over Saudi and Gulf
states' acquisition of arms. Stabilizing the governments through
enhanced human rights protections would greatly diminish the threat of
those governments falling and the weapons ending up in the hands of
parties who might use them against Israel, which is a fear in Congress.
But all of this is beside the point--Israel's own Prime Minister has already accepted the idea of the US selling these arms to the Arab states. One would expect Congress, then, to follow his lead.
Instead,
what we get is Congressional saber-rattling that is positioned solidly
to the right of the majority of Israeli political parties. There is no
questioning of Israel's reception of aid, and even of it increasing,
despite the fact that the enhancement of aid is specifically meant to
offset the arms sales to the Arab states. Instead, there is blind
opposition from key Democrats in Congress only to sales to Saudi
Arabia, based on objections to the Saudi's stance on Iraq, and their
attempt to re-unify the Palestinian factions. The short-sightedness of
this opposition is hard to overstate.
Congressional
understanding of the Middle East is limited. They hear from "experts"
largely supplied by only one side in the discussion, be they from AIPAC
or the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP). There are
always, of course, lobbying efforts supporting failed hard-line
policies, but the educational efforts are just as important. The need
for an alternative in Washington couldn't be more clear.
Palestinians Stranded In Egypt
Perhaps no situation serves as a better metaphor for the Palestinian plight than that of the 5-7,000 Palestinians who have been stranded at the Egypt-Gaza border ever since the Rafah crossing was closed after Hamas' takeover of the Gaza Strip.
Few
have taken the attitude that the suffering of these people on the
border, where they have been stranded with little support, using up all
of their money on temporary housing and food, should be alleviated
quickly. Instead, people on all sides have used this dire situation to
blame their opponents.
The Rafah crossing is administered on
the Egyptian side by Egypt, working in consultation with Israel. On the
Palestinian side, it had been administered by the Palestinian Authority
with European Union monitors. When Hamas took over Gaza, they assumed
sole control over the crossing and the EU monitors fled.
With
the Hamas takeover, Egypt closed the crossing. While this was certainly
approved by Israel, it was just as clearly an Egyptian decision. Israel
wants the crossing closed because, while the Palestinian side is under
Hamas control, they fear that weapons smuggling will increase
exponentially. But Egypt's concerns are much stronger, as they fear
that the free flow of goods and people over the crossing will not only
imply recognition of Hamas' control of Gaza, but will also help cement
day-to-day connections between Hamas and their allies, including the
Muslim Brotherhood, in Egypt. For much of this time, Egypt has done
little to safeguard the welfare of the Palestinians at the border.
Some
have accused Fatah of blocking the return of the stranded Palestinians.
In fact, they have no real influence on this situation. Hamas, on the other hand, has refused any alternative to opening the Rafah crossing,
leaving the thousands of Palestinians in limbo. In the early days of
their takeover of Gaza, they fired on the Kerem Shalom crossing in
order to discourage even aid shipments from coming through. While that
has abated, the message was sent that Hamas would enforce their
decisions about entrance and exit from the Strip. They have made it
clear that they oppose the alternatives proposed by Israel, be it
through Kerem Shalom or by the more circuitous route now being proposed
that would bring the stranded people up on PA sponsored buses to the
Erez crossing at the northeastern end of Gaza and allow them to
re-enter the strip there. Though Hamas has not threatened violence if
such options are attempted, there is legitimate fear that they will
resort to it to enforce their will.
Israel, for its part, is screening anyone coming through its territory among the stranded Palestinians. Any who are wanted by Israel would face arrest if they try to return.
For
Hamas, this is an important point in establishing some recognition that
they rule Gaza. With all parties refusing to talk to Hamas, including
Israel, Egypt and Fatah, it is impossible to resolve the dispute. At this writing, 101 Palestinians had been brought through Erez without incident.
But the possibility remains that there will be trouble, as Israel is
only bringing people in at a slow pace, expecting some 700 more this
week. Since this will continue to leave large numbers of people
stranded and because this will require a large number of individual bus
trips, each of which will draw considerable attention, the potential
for problems from all sides remain. Still, one might hope that this is
the beginning of the end of this crisis and that most or all of the
stranded Palestinians will soon be home.
In the end, all the
leadership bodies--Fatah, Hamas, Israel and Egypt--played politics with
the lives of Palestinians, most of whom, perhaps even all, are innocent
civilians. That is the Palestinian tale of the past century writ small.
In Israel
- We
reported last week on a bill in the Knesset that would permit the
Israel Land Authority to discriminate against non-Jews in its
administration of Jewish National Fund lands. For more information
about this, click here. Now, the Reform movement has come out in opposition to this bill.
This is a welcome development, as we are seeing clearly that world
Jewry understands that just as we would never tolerate such
discrimination against us, we cannot ourselves practice it. There is
also an online petition against this bill which you can sign here.
- Jordanian and Egyptian delegates, operating as representatives of the Arab League, visited Israel this past week.
It's a very positive sign that the Arab leadership generally is trying
to find more realistic ways of resolving the conflicts with Israel.
Still, the fact that mixed messages,
some saying that the delegates represented the Arab League, some saying
they did not, came out demonstrates that, politically, there is still a
lot of work to do. It will require real leadership, in Israel and in
the Arab world, to move past the decades of fiery rhetoric toward an
atmosphere where the sorts of agreements necessary to end this vexing
conflict are possible.
- While the latest polls
in Israel demonstrate that, were elections held today, the number of
seats Kadima would win varies greatly if Ehud Olmert runs again (7
seats) or if Tzipi Livni was heading the Kadima list (23 seats), they
show that, in either case, Likud would likely win an election. Another poll
portrayed the difference between Olmert and Livini as smaller, but
still held victory for Likud. The dangers of such an outcome are
obvious, especially as Likud, since the split that created Kadima, is
an even more extremist party than it was before Ariel Sharon.
In the Palestinian Territories
- Palestinian Legislative Council member, Dr. Mustafa Barghouti criticized British Foreign Minister David Milbrand
for saying that a resolution of the Israel-Palestine conflict would not
include the return of refugees to Israel. Barghouti said that "such
statements will strongly harm the peace efforts and any possibility of
finding a just solution to the Palestinian issue and ending the
conflict in the region." The issue is not whether the statement is
correct or not. But, like the foolish promise made by George W. Bush to
Ariel Sharon in 2004 of a similar point, it means that Israel would not
feel a need to negotiate on the refugee issue. By removing the central
issue to the Palestinians from the realm of diplomacy, the possibility
of negotiations for peace become much more remote.
- A poll conducted by al-Najjar University yielded some interesting results:
- 68% of Palestinians favor early elections for the PLC, 70% for the presidency
- 49% favor a confederation between the West Bank and Jordan
- Only 27% support Hamas' refusal to recognize the government Abbas recently formed
- Only 26% believe Hamas is capable of managing Gaza
- Among 76% who said they would participate in new elections, 55% would support a Fatah candidate, 16% Hamas
- 67% reject the hamas claim that the PLO is illegitimate and not representative of the Palestinians. 27% support that claim
More articles of interest
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